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Mosisili On Shifting Ground
10 May
2012
Prime Minister Pakalitha Mosisili's ruling
Democratic Congress (DC) looks set for a rocky time
at the polls. Factionalism is already blighting the
new party, which may well find itself in opposition
in the next Parliament, facing a ruling coalition
centred on the Mosisili's former power base, the
Lesotho Congress for Democracy (LCD).
Mosisili had hoped that, by forming the DC, he would
leave behind the ruinous schisms of the LCD. But
disputes in eight of the DC's constituencies over
the selection of candidates, who were delegated by
the DC's executive against local wishes, have
prompted the prime minister to make fervent appeals
for unity ahead of the 26 May election.
Pro and anti-DC violence has marred campaigning.
Last week the prime minister appealed to the youth
wing of his party to desist from attacking political
opponents. The DC has yet to win hearts and minds
throughout the country and the Mosisili is wary that
his supporters may alienate voters.
His main political rival, Mothetjoa Metsing, who
heads the LCD, is conducting a vigorous campaign
around an election manifesto centred on improving
relations with South Africa, tackling unemployment,
and reforming natural resources policy to provide
the government with a larger share of profits from
mining.
Mosisili abandoned the LCD in February, crossing the
floor of Parliament with 44 of the party's 62 MPs to
form the DC, which he then declared to be the ruling
party, following a "vote of confidence" engineered
by parliamentary speaker and Mosisili supporter
Ntlhoi Motsamai (Vol 30 No 6).
But Mosisili's hopes of using his long-standing
personal clout to speed the DC to victory at the
polls smacks of hubris. Metsing recently drew a
large crowd at an LCD rally held in Mosisili's home
district of Qacha's Nek, suggesting that the party
may have retained the core support it enjoyed before
Mosisili's departure.
Election campaigning this time around has come under
close scrutiny by the Independent Electoral
Commission.
In the past Mosisili's electoral campaigning
involved buying votes using donations of food and by
making quick infrastructure improvements at
strategically important constituencies. He also used
government vehicles and other resources to reach
voters.
Corruption of this kind was not confined to
Mosisili's LCD, but as the ruling party it had open
access to most of the resources it wanted.
Last month the IEC set up a monitoring panel to ward
off the use of state resources for party
electioneering, particularly in the country's
decisive but hard to reach mountainous regions. But
the Commission cannot prevent parties from using
their own resources to catch voters.
The party that travels to the multitude of highland
constituencies where the majority of voters live is
likely to have the greater chance of winning the
election.
On this count Mosisili's DC has had a head start.
But it looks as if the prime minister will find that
this will not be enough to prevent a coalition of
the LCD and other opposition parties from forming a
government after 26 May, possibly setting Lesotho
politics on a completely different path.
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